BA Hot 100: Dynasty FYPD Rankings 2022

The owners’ lockout of the players has all but extinguished the offseason hot stove, leaving baseball fans with little to look forward to in the short term.

Yet for a subgenre of baseball fans—dynasty league players—the early months of each year are critical to their fandom, whether or not a Collective Bargaining Agreement is in place.

Dynasty leagues typically conduct their first-year player drafts in January, February or March, with managers in those leagues hard at work each offseason reviewing the most recent MLB Draft class and incoming international signees. A shrewd FYPD pick in 2022 can pay off exponentially in the future, either as the player graduates to the major leagues or is used in a trade for MLB talent.

Dynasty leagues have exploded in popularity in the fantasy baseball space the past five to 10 years, and with that uptick in participation has come the tradition of ranking prospects for annual FYPDs.

This is Baseball America’s third crack at ranking the top 100 first-year prospects for dynasty leagues—you can see how we did in 2020 and 2021—and it's a ranking we call the Hot 100. Our focus this year is on 2021 draft picks plus the international free agents who sign when the 2021-22 period opens on Jan. 15. Also featured prominently is a 27-year-old Japanese professional coming off a 38-homer season.

BA is excited to have prospect writer Geoff Pontes on board for this edition. He brings extensive prospect knowledge, years of dynasty experience and overall passion to our proceedings. Pontes joins BA draft guru Carlos Collazo and international guru Ben Badler to provide what we believe is the best combination of scouting, analytical and fantasy expertise available for dynasty league managers as they prepare for their FYPDs.

We hope you enjoy the 2022 installment of the Hot 100.

A note about this ranking:

As the Hot 100 moves beyond the top 20, a grouping of similar player types emerges—lots of high school hitters and college pitchers—and this is in some ways by design. Different fantasy managers value different things outside of the top talents available in any given FYPD.

A competitive team at the top of the standings might value the lower risk of a collegiate hitter or starting pitcher, while a rebuilding squad may value high-upside, high-risk prep or international hitters. Drafting is largely a matter of preference, and our Hot 100 allows readers to see how each grouping blends together to inform their decision-making.

As always, we focus more on upside and positional talent versus pitching. This is a primary reason why players who rank highly on draft or organizational top prospects rankings may rank lower here. It’s a matter of applying the proper context through the lens of fantasy baseball, where power, speed and the hit tool are the most valuable attributes a position prospect can have. Conversely, pitching is all about power. The value of strikeouts is paramount in dynasty baseball and there is a heavy bias toward pitchers with swing-and-miss arsenals.

Key

H stands for batting/pitching hand, where an asterisk (*) denotes lefthanded, blank signifies righthanded and a pound sign (#) means switch-hitter.

BA Grades appear in the 2022 Prospect Handbook and estimate players' projected major league value on the 20-80 scouting scale. Each BA Grade comes with an assessment for

Risk. In this exercise all players are assessed as either medium (

M), high (

H), very high (

V) or extreme (

X) risk.

— Click through each player to access all scouting reports we have on file for him.


RkHPlayerPosOrgAgeSourceT100BA500BonusGradeRiskETA
1*Marcelo MayerSSBOS19HS2$6,660,00065V2025
Equipped with a projectable plus hit and plus power combination, Mayer has a franchise player ceiling. The Corey Seager comps make a lot of sense.
2Brady HouseSSWAS19HS7$5,000,00060X2025
A supremely talented prep infielder with plus raw power, a big league body and freakish athleticism for his size.
3Jordan LawlarSSARI19HS1$6,710,00065X2025
Feel to hit, power and speed provide a foundation to dream on; dealt with shoulder injury in first pro season.
4Seiya SuzukiOF27IFA55M2022
A superstar in Japan, Suzuki must prove his power and production translate to the US. The only plug-and-play pick in this FYPD.
5*Kahlil WatsonSSMIA19HS6$4,540,00060X2025
A swing geared for power, as well as freakish twitch and athleticism make Watson anything but a consolation prize in this year’s draft.
6*Colton CowserOFBAL224YR11$4,900,00055H2024
Cowser has one of the best hit tools in this year’s class. The Orioles are banking on his power to develop.
7Henry DavisCPIT224YR4$6,500,00060H2024
The No. 1 pick in the MLB Draft is the best offensive catcher in this year’s class and arguably the best college hitter, with plate discipline and power.
8Jack LeiterRHPTEX224YR3$7,920,00060H2024
The top pitching prospect, Leiter possesses one of the best fastballs in the class with a trio of secondaries and a fiery competitiveness.
9*Sal FrelickOFMIL224YR9$4,000,00055V2024
Offers double-plus speed with excellent strike-zone awareness and feel to hit. Leadoff profile, but questions remain about in-game power.
10Matt McLainSSCIN224YR10$4,630,00055H2024
In a strong pro debut, McLain showcased above-average bat-to-ball skills and sneaky power. He will hit but for how much impact?
11*Trey SweeneySSNYY224YR55$3,000,00050H2024
Sweeney is an analytical darling with advanced on-base ability and projectable plus power to dream on.
12Harry FordCSEA19HS17$4,370,00055X2025
Ford is the rare uber-athletic catcher with power and speed. He has real offensive upside to dream on despite catcher risk.
13*Colson Montgomery3BCWS20HS34$3,030,00055X2025
Projectable lefthanded power bat with room to add strength in his large frame; swing-and-miss concerns may lead to a power-over-hit profile.
14James Triantos3BCHC19HS59$2,100,00055X2025
Bat-first infield prospect turned in a strong pro debut. He has feel to hit and power, with more projection to come.
15*James WoodOFSD19HS35$2,600,00055X2025
The 6-foot-7 power hitter made tweaks to his stance in his pro debut and finished strong after struggling with swing-and-miss in the spring.
16Jay AllenOFCIN19HS38$2,400,00055X2025
A multi-sport star in high school, Allen is a projectable outfielder who teased tantalizing feel to hit and power to dream on.
17Jackson JobeRHPDET19HS8$6,900,00060X2025
Jobe features a four-pitch mix led by a mid-90s fastball and a hellacious 3,000 rpm slider.
18Will BednarRHPSF224YR18$3,650,00050H2024
Bednar misses bats with all three of his pitches, but his fastball shape and plus slider are his bread and butter. Starter profile.
19*Jordan WicksLHPCHC224YR13$3,130,00050H2024
Midrotation starter profile with arguably the best changeup in the class, Wicks is a high-floor lefthander with feel for a four-pitch mix.
20Sam BachmanRHPLAA224YR14$3,850,00055H2024
Bachman has one of the most electric arms in the class—but plenty of bullpen risk—with 100 mph sinkers and high-80s sliders.
21Gunnar HoglundRHPTOR224YR19$3,250,00055X2024
One of college baseball's top performers at the time of his injury, Hoglund has a high-spin, three-pitch mix; midrotation upside.
22Gavin WilliamsRHPCLE224YR30$2,250,00055V2024
Few teams draft pitchers better than Cleveland, and Williams is a power righthander who has been up to 100 mph with a swing-and-miss slider.
23Michael McGreevyRHPSTL214YR16$2,750,00055H2024
A pitchability righty with plus control and feel for his four-pitch mix, McGreevy is in good hands. The Cardinals have optimized advanced strike-throwers.
24Ty MaddenRHPDET224YR12$2,500,00050H2024
Led by an upper-90s fastball and swing-and-miss slider, Madden is the classic hard-throwing starter who will go deep into starts.
25Andrew PainterRHPPHI19HS15$3,900,00060X2025
With four above-average or better pitches with a projectable 6-foot-7 frame, Painter was one of the most decorated prep pitchers in recent years.
26Benny MontgomeryOFCOL19HS23$5,000,00055X2025
Montgomery is a player whose tools are as loud as his questions. Lightning-quick bat speed and natural power in a quirky, unorthodox swing.
27Joshua BaezOFSTL19HS31$2,250,00055X2025
With a power hitter's build, Baez launches balls to all fields with authority, but questions remain around swing-and-miss issues.
28*Joe MackCMIA19HS22$2,500,00050X2025
Advanced hitter with a chance to hit for plus power in his prime, Mack is among the most talented offensive players in the prep class.
29Lonnie White Jr.OFPIT19HS32$1,500,00055X2025
The two-sport star was committed to Penn State for football. White's game is unrefined, but he boasts the raw power and athleticism to be a star.
30*Cooper Kinney2BTB19HS70$2,150,00050V2025
Hit-first infield prospect with the barrel control, advanced approach and developing plus power that could make him a fantasy star.
31Jackson MerrillSSSD19HS102$1,800,00055X2025
Raw, projectable power hitter reaped the benefits of a predraft growth spurt. Still growing into his body but middle-of-the-order upside.
32Zack Gelof3BOAK224YR79$1,160,00050H2024
Post-draft standout ranked as No. 2 prospect in the Oakland system on the strength of his average hit tool and plus raw power.
33Max MuncySSOAK19HS52$2,850,00055X2025
California prep standout with athleticism and projectable 20-home run power to dream on. Less refined than the top prep hitters in the class.
34*Tyler Black2BMIL214YR82$2,220,00050H2024
Pull-heavy, hit-first second baseman with advanced feel for the barrel. Black was one of the strongest hitters in the college ranks in 2021.
35Connor Norby2BBAL224YR43$1,700,00050H2024
Norby has everyday regular upside because of a well-rounded game with an advanced approach and sneaky power and speed
36*Ethan WilsonOFPHI224YR26$1,510,00050H2024
Strong combination of power, hitting ability and on-base skills. Small-conference questions and early struggles in the spring.
37Ryan CusickRHPATL224YR39$2,700,00050H2024
The massive 6-foot-6 righthander comes armed with a high-90s fastball and swing-and-miss curveball but comes with a high level of relief risk.
38Carson WilliamsSSTB19HS41$2,350,00055X2025
The two-way talent advanced rapidly as a position player. Williams possesses plus power but plenty of questions about his hit tool.
39#Roderick AriasSS17IFA2027
Arias projects to stick at shortstop with a well-rounded set of tools and skills on offense and defense, showing good plate coverage, speed and power potential.
40Chase PettyRHPMIN19HS29$2,500,00055X2025
The high school righthander has touched 100 mph with a deceptive delivery. Questions surround his mechanics and remaining projection.
41Ricardo CabreraSS17IFA2027
Cabrera should be one of the top international performers in his pro debut, with polished hitting ability for his age and a chance to hit for power too.
42*Frank MozzicatoLHPKC19HS42$3,550,00055X2025
A projectable cold-weather lefty with a smooth, easy operation and feel for spin, Mozzicato will be a slow burn in fantasy. Is the upside worth it?
43Bubba ChandlerRHPPIT19HS20$3,000,00055X2025
The draft's top two-way player, Chandler should likely be developed as a pitcher, where he could develop into a power starter.
44*Anthony SolometoLHPPIT19HS28$2,800,00055X2025
A funky, low-slot lefty with power stuff and a starter's build to dream on, Solometo boasts midrotation upside.
45*Kyle Manzardo1BTB214YR80$747,5002024
Manzardo rose from obscurity in 2021 to post some of the gaudiest offensive production in Division I. Hit-over-power bat with advanced approach.
46#Cristian VaqueroOF17IFA2027
Vaquero is a sleek, athletic center fielder with power and speed potential, with his bonus likely to be the highest among this year's IFA signings.
47*Wes Kath3BCWS19HS54$1,800,00055X2025
The power-hitting infielder with plus exit velocities maxes out at 108 mph. He has plenty of power to dream on, but hit tool concerns surfaced this summer.
48*Aaron ZavalaOFTEX224YR125$830,00050H2024
Elite on-base ability and plate approach drive Zavala's profile, and his fringe-average power still has some projection remaining.
49Ben KudrnaRHPKC19HS47$3,000,00055X2025
A strike-throwing prep righthander with projectable stuff, Kudrna was up to 97 mph predraft with a slider that flashed plus.
50*Matt MikulskiLHPSF234YR40$1,200,00050H2023
Up to 98 mph last spring with high-spin stuff, Mikulski broke out early in the spring due to a reworked mechanics and a shortened arm action.
51*Lazaro MontesOF/1B17IFA2027
Montes has huge power potential, with limited defensive value but a chance to be a 30-plus home run hitter in the middle of a lineup.
52*Izaac PachecoSSDET19HS36$2,750,00055X2025
The prep slugger is likely to move off shortstop long term, but he impressed in his pro debut by flashing projectable power and on-base ability.
53Tyler WhitakerOFHOU19HS60$1,500,00050X2025
A double-plus runner with off-the-charts athleticism and plenty of projection remaining, Whitaker has an unrefined game with swing-and-miss concerns.
54*Ky BushLHPLAA224YR46$1,750,00045H2024
An athletic lefthander from the college ranks, Bush's four-pitch mix is led by a mid-90s fastball with heavy ride and above-average command.
55*Daylen LileOFWAS19HS62$1,750,00045X2025
A born hitter with a track record of performance on the prep circuit, Lile faces questions around his power and overall impact.
56*Adrian Del CastilloCARI224YR25$1,000,00045H2024
A hit-over-power, bat-first catcher, Del Castillo needs to show he can translate his raw power to games.
57*Alex Binelas3BBOS224YR77$700,00045H2024
A prodigious slugger at Louisville, Binelas produced strong numbers in pro ball before the Brewers traded him to the Red Sox this offseason.
58Christian FranklinOFCHC224YR57$425,0002024
A tooled-up center fielder with plus power and major questions around his feel to hit, Franklin is a high-upside college hitter who could break out in 2022.
59*Maddux BrunsLHPLAD19HS48$2,200,00055X2025
The unrefined lefthander from the prep ranks has a plus fastball that already sits 93-95 mph and has a trio of secondaries for the Dodgers to develop.
60*Cody MorissetteSSMIA224YR45$1,400,00045H2024
Collegiate star who formed a formidable duo at Boston College with Sal Frelick has a sweet lefthanded swing with projectable power.
61#Noah MillerSSMIN19HS74$1,700,00055X2025
Younger brother of the Guardians' Owen Miller, Noah is a standout defender with raw offensive skills and room for development at the plate.
62Denzel ClarkeOFOAK224YR133$700,00050X2024
The 6-foot-5, 220-pound Clarke has some of the best power potential in this year’s class. He's an improving talent who blossomed in 2021.
63*Andrew AbbottLHPCIN234YR67$1,300,00045H2024
The crafty lefthander has advanced sequencing and feel for spin. Abbott jumped from the Virginia bullpen to the rotation in 2021 and performed.
64*Doug NikhazyLHPCLE224YR76$1,200,00045H2024
The ace of the Ole Miss staff in 2021, Nikhazy is an advanced strike-thrower with projection who Cleveland could refine.
65Ryan BlissSSARI224YR97$1,250,00045H2024
Bliss is a college performer who packs average or better game power despite his undersized frame. He is a max-effort player with well-rounded tools.
66#Peyton Wilson2BKC224YR78$1,000,0002024
A switch-hitter with advanced strike-zone awareness, Wilson's explosive hands should allow him to be an average hitter from both sides.
67Sean BurkeRHPCWS224YR53$900,00045H2024
The athletic righthander has a plus mid-90s fastball that was up to 97 mph with plus analytical traits this summer in Low-A.
68#Tyler McDonough2BBOS234YR128$828,60045H2024
Elite plate approach and versatility give McDonough super-utility upside, with the ability to impact the game in a variety of ways.
69Javier OsorioSS17IFA2027
Osorio has strong, quick wrists that help him whip the barrel through the zone with ferocity, showing the tools to be a power-hitting infielder.
70Diego BenitezSS17IFA2027
Likely a third baseman in pro ball, Benitez is one of the more advanced international hitters. He has a smooth swing with good bat speed, contact skills and power potential.
71Hunter GoodmanCCOL224YR63$600,0002024
Double-plus raw power from a catcher at Coors Field is a dynasty dream, but his significant strikeout woes remain an issue.
72#Jonathan MejiaSS17IFA2027
An offensive-minded infielder, Mejia sticks out for his bat speed and ability to drive the ball with authority from both sides of the plate.
73*Jordan ViarsOFPHI18HS405$747,50050X2025
An early pro breakout in a very small sample size, Viars teased contact, power and approach. Is the early pro performance a mirage?
74*Yendry RojasINF/OF17IFA2027
Rojas is one of the top pure hitters in this year's international class, showing a mature approach for his age with a knack for barreling balls in games.
75Peter HeubeckRHPLAD19HS105$1,270,00050X2025
Up to 94 mph this summer with a high-spin, heavy ride four-seam fastball and a pair of projectable secondaries led by a 12-6 curveball.
76Spencer SchwellenbachRHPATL224YR51$1,000,00050X2024
Two-way player at Nebraska who had Tommy John this summer. A pitching prospect long-term with a fastball that touched triple digits this spring.
77#Reed TrimbleOFBAL224YR104$800,00045H2024
Super athletic outfielder with double-plus speed and a leadoff hitter's skill set. Some questions around his impact despite sneaky raw power.
78#Edwin ArroyoSSSEA18HS72$1,650,00050X2025
Glove-first middle infielder who impressed with surprising offensive prowess this summer, limited power upside.
79Dylan SmithRHPDET224YR56$1,120,00045H2024
Athletic righty with a lean frame trending in the right direction from a strength standpoint, Smith has a four-pitch mix and a fast arm.
80Ryan ReckleySS17IFA2027
This year's top talent from the Bahamas, Reckley is a smooth athlete with plus speed and an offensive skill set that could make him a tablesetter at the top of a lineup.
81Jose TorresSSCIN224YR92$622,50050H2024
Tooled-up middle infielder who was a standout defender at NC State, Torres has projectable offensive tools, but is yet to put it all together.
82Tommy MaceRHPCLE234YR65$1,100,00045H2023
Highly-decorated college starter with limited upside, but the opportunity to develop under Cleveland's pitching dev make him more interesting.
83Jaden HillRHPCOL224YR24$1,690,00055X2024
A first-round talent who fell due to a poorly timed elbow injury that resulted in Tommy John surgery. Possible plus fastball and changeup combo.
84Dominic HamelRHPNYM234YR152$755,30045H2023
Standout pitch shape plus feel for the zone make Hamel a sleeper among the college starter's in this FYPD; a high-upside late round lotto ticket.
85*Ricky TiedemannLHPTOR19JC90$644,80050X2025
Armed with a plus changeup and a deceptive, low lefthanded slot, Tiedemann's increased physicality brought with it a jump in stuff.
86*William Bergolla Jr.SS17IFA2027
Bergolla's quickness stands out in the field and at the plate. He might never be a power threat, but he has a high-contact bat from the left side.
87Griff McGarryRHPPHI234YR311$322,50050X2024
The best stuff in the class with some of the worst command, McGarry has the stuff to be a big league starter but lacks the required feel for the zone.
88Yasser MercedesOF17IFA2027
Mercedes is one of the top international power-speed threats, with some swing-and-miss risk but big athleticism, tools and physical upside.
89Carlos PachecoOF17IFA2027
A speedy, athletic center fielder, Pacheco has the bat-to-ball skills and strike-zone discipline that could make him a high OBP threat.
90*Robert GasserLHPSD234YR64$884,20045H2023
Reworked his body during the 2020 shutdown and emerged with increased velocity, an improved slider and above-average command.
91*Steven HajjarLHPMIN224YR61$1,130,00045H2024
Polished lefty strike-thrower with feel for a four-pitch mix, Hajjar's fastball features plus ride, with projectable velocity in his 6-foot-5 frame.
92Austin LoveRHPSTL234YR99$600,00045H2023
Love spent two years in the UNC bullpen before making the jump to the rotation; he features a low-90s fastball, mid-80s slider and a changeup.
93*Brock SelvidgeLHPNYY19HS142$1,500,00050X2025
The prep lefty has a projectable four-pitch mix, led by an above-average curveball and a fastball that's been up to 95 mph.
94Calvin ZieglerRHPNYM19HS272$910,00050X2025
Canadian high school righty with a plus fastball that's been up to 97 mph and an above-average breaking ball.
95Mat NelsonCCIN234YR50$2,100,00050H2024
A power-hitting catcher with good defensive skills, Nelson may be relegated to a backup role long-term because of contact issues.
96*Jordan McCantsSSMIA20HS89$800,00050X2025
An extremely athletic shortstop with plus speed, above-average defense at short and strong contact skills, McCants faces questions around power projection.
97*Nathan HickeyCBOS224YR132$1,000,00045H2024
Hickey is a slugging catcher with huge raw power but also many questions about his ability to stick behind the plate.
98#TJ WhiteOFWAS18HS362$400,0002025
A switch-hitter with plus raw power, White was impressive in his debut, hitting .283/.356/.547 with four home runs in 15 games.
99John RhodesOFBAL214YR173$1,380,00045H2024
Rhodes has a short, quick swing with a pull-side approach and above-average raw power. He faces questions around his feel to hit and ultimate power upside.
100*Oscar ColasOF23IFA2023
Likely a left fielder or first baseman, Colas will have to hit a ton—and quickly, since he's already 23—but he does have big raw power.
div">>Anthony Volpe Mikejanesfourseam

Five Players Who Could Be The No. 1 Prospect In 2023

If all of the Top 10 prospects graduate, the obvious question is: Who’s going to be the game’s top prospect at this time next year? We have a few guesses.

Source : https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/ba-hot-100-dynasty-fypd-rankings-2022/

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